humanoid robots
there is a lot of worry in the media about too few factory jobs
in north america and europe
because of outsourcing to asia and automation everywhere
but there will probably be very many more factories built
in north america, europe and asia
to mass produce humanoid robots
since there will be an enormous market demand for humanoid robots
the market demand will be from both companies and households
to do boring, repetitive and dangerous tasks
but possibly some creative taks too like cooking restaurant quality food
the question is if those factories mass producing humanoid robots
will give humans more jobs or not
and if humanoid robots that are sold to companies
will give humans jobs or not
historically new tools and new technologies
have always created more jobs for humans
but since AI and humanoid robots
could completely replace humans in many jobs
then the question is what humans would work with
but if you look at what happens virtually in video games
then that could give an indication of what could happen in reality
when a player contols one character in fps games
then the player uses that one character to do one task at a time
and when a player controls many characters in rts games
then the player uses many characters to do many tasks at the same time
and when a player controls processes in automation games
then the player uses many processes
to do very many tasks at the same time
anyway there are many small upstart humanoid robot companies
and there are many big car companies that produce and sell fewer cars
so those big car companies could make deals
with those small humanoid robot companies
so that those big car companies mass produce humanoid robots too
which would enable those big car companies
to produce and sell more products
both cars and humanoid robots
so that many more big car company factories would be built
and which probably would create more jobs for humans
building those factories and working in those factories
if only pessimists do the math
then the future could look depressing
but if some realists do the math
then the future could look optimistic
example:
if 90 % of humans workers are kicked from work
because of automation
but the amount of work increases by 1000 times
because automation increases the supply of more and cheaper products
which increases the market demand for more and cheaper products
10% * 1000 = 10'000%
then the amount of human jobs would increase by 10'000%
because of automation
if children studied many more hours of math in school
then they would learn more math
and be able to calculate that their future is more optimistic
than what the pessimists in media communicate
and worker unions could always demand
that the most fun jobs are done by human workers
historically media has explained outsourcing of jobs
from rich countries to poor countries
as too few workers in rich countries
when it's more about lower salaries in poor countries
which leads to production of cheaper products
and the market demands cheaper products
but when the economies develop more
in africa, latin america, russia and poor parts of asia
then the market demand for humanoid robots will increase enormously
so that even more factories are built
both in the rich countries and in the poor countries
and if human workers are still needed in factories at that time
then there will probably not be enough workers in rich countries
so that rich countries will need to outsource some factories
to poor countries
not because of low salaries but because of too few workers
estimated market dand for humanoid robots:
according to media
there are about 8 billion humans on planet earth
and of those 3,5 billion have work
and there are 2,3 billion households on planet earth
so companies and other employers
will probably want to buy or rent
atleast 3 billion humanoid robots either to replace human workers
so that those humans get other work or become unemployed
and every household will want to buy or rent atleast 1 humanoid robot
to clean dishes, wash clothes, repair household, help children and elderly
and cook restaurant quality food
so that's a market demand of atleast 5,3 billion humanoid robots
and that's more humanoid robots than there are cars on planet earth
since according to media
there are about 1,5 billion cars on planet earth
some car factories produce 500'000 cars per year
5'300'000'000 / 500'000 = 10'600
so that would require 10'600 factories
to produce 5,3 billion humanoid robots
if each factory produces 500'000 humanoid robots
but all of those humanoid robots would not be produced in one year
more likely a few hundred million humanoid robots
would be produced each year
until there are 5,3 billion humanoid robots on the market
and new humanoid robots would be produced
to replace old and broken humanoid robots
so if company factories produce 500'000'000 humanoid robots per year
and each factory produces 500'000 humanoid robots
500'000'000 / 500'000 = 1000
then that would require 1000 new factories
but many car factories produce fewer cars per year
depending on car company and market demand
but according to chatgpt
there are 3000 to 4000 car factories in the world
that produce about 100'000'000 cars, buses and trucks per year
3000 * 5 = 15000
so it could be assumed that it would be required 15000 factories
to produce 500'000'000 humanoid robots per year
so for company factories to produce
hundreds of millions of humanoid robots per year
then that would be a huge amount of factories
which could easily increase the amount of factories by many thousands
/// I got no education
and I notice the effects of that when I write about numbers in business
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